Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study
Identifieur interne : 000335 ( 2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000334; suivant : 000336Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study
Auteurs : Kedong Zhao [République populaire de Chine] ; Cheng Long [République populaire de Chine] ; Yan Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Tieyong Zeng [Hong Kong] ; Xinmiao Fu [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- Journal of Public Health (Oxford, England) [ 1741-3842 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
Url:
DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046
PubMed: 32219398
PubMed Central: 7184396
Affiliations:
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PMC:7184396Le document en format XML
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